it seems as though there's been a ton of carryovers this meet. my friday nights at holly have been either feast or famine; here's hoping i get to feast tonight. i will try to post my tix (i'm playing a fairly significant one tonight) right before the first leg. the scratch of duke of green in the fifth has really thrown tonight's carryover card right up in the air.
r2: christel flame. very rare indeed for me to back a filly running with the boys, but do believe christel flame will get a good pace set up front with all the but mont st michel set to show speed. 'flame made a big middle move in her last, only to get run down late. she should be dead fit in her second off the shelf and i'm thinking i'll get a real nice price in this five horse field. not the most likely winner of the race, just the best gamble.
r4: dear to me. i won't single this one, but this gelding looks to be sitting on a smasher for mitchell. got two useful sprint preps for bell and now gets the patented mitchell juice. with patrick and the rail, this horse will be sent and may be very tough to run down. swift hero will probably go favored, but with 15 losses on his resume, i'm leaving him be. western fame was my seleciton last time (also on a friday night), and he looked like a wild horse finishing that race after elminating himself at the start. bengoa is an interesting longshot play with garcia taking the controls from nakatani.
r6: weho. this one made up a ridiculous 15 lengths in half a mile with a huge run against the cellar dwelling maidens. steps up in here, but i like the pace scenario in here as a bunch of these fillies should be trying to get to the front. i expect alex to lag back, and make a big move turning for home. you can't make a living backing stone closers, but we should get a decent price to find out if she can pass 'em all.
r7: arsen. talk about speed! quinton's gold and menacing dennis will be throwing down in the first quarter of a mile. wouldn't be surprised to see a sub- 44:3 half in here. now, they either both just quit, or they run 1-2 around the track. i'm thinking they're going to get tired, specially menacing dennis, who is first time turf and making his second start off grueling comeback race.
good luck.
r2: christel flame. very rare indeed for me to back a filly running with the boys, but do believe christel flame will get a good pace set up front with all the but mont st michel set to show speed. 'flame made a big middle move in her last, only to get run down late. she should be dead fit in her second off the shelf and i'm thinking i'll get a real nice price in this five horse field. not the most likely winner of the race, just the best gamble.
r4: dear to me. i won't single this one, but this gelding looks to be sitting on a smasher for mitchell. got two useful sprint preps for bell and now gets the patented mitchell juice. with patrick and the rail, this horse will be sent and may be very tough to run down. swift hero will probably go favored, but with 15 losses on his resume, i'm leaving him be. western fame was my seleciton last time (also on a friday night), and he looked like a wild horse finishing that race after elminating himself at the start. bengoa is an interesting longshot play with garcia taking the controls from nakatani.
r6: weho. this one made up a ridiculous 15 lengths in half a mile with a huge run against the cellar dwelling maidens. steps up in here, but i like the pace scenario in here as a bunch of these fillies should be trying to get to the front. i expect alex to lag back, and make a big move turning for home. you can't make a living backing stone closers, but we should get a decent price to find out if she can pass 'em all.
r7: arsen. talk about speed! quinton's gold and menacing dennis will be throwing down in the first quarter of a mile. wouldn't be surprised to see a sub- 44:3 half in here. now, they either both just quit, or they run 1-2 around the track. i'm thinking they're going to get tired, specially menacing dennis, who is first time turf and making his second start off grueling comeback race.
good luck.